Sweltering-Textbook
0x05679b0a0f6d61199814e7184d4afb3884d928ed
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
92
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-133.65
Realised
$10.73
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 92- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $108,000 on November 5?
1200 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on January 6?
340 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.02
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $106,000 on November 8?
300 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 8, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on January 11?
210 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.39
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on January 28?
173 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-0.86
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on November 13?
160 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 13, 2025$0.00
$-0.80
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on January 15?
139 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 15, 2026$0.00
$-3.37
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on November 28?
98 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 28, 2025$0.00
$-1.18
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on February 10?
85 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-2.18
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on December 25?
83 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 25, 2025$0.00
$-3.04
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 25?$1.30Mar 25, 06:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 24?$1.05Mar 24, 07:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 24?$0.95Mar 24, 00:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 23?$1.02Mar 23, 15:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 23?$0.03Mar 23, 15:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 20?$0.23Mar 19, 17:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 20?$0.82Mar 19, 17:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 19?$0.52Mar 19, 14:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 19?$1.60Mar 19, 10:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 17?$10.86Mar 17, 16:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 17?$3.30Mar 16, 23:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 13?$3.98Mar 12, 16:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 13?$1.20Mar 12, 16:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 12?$1.00Mar 12, 13:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 10AM ET$0.48Mar 5, 15:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 10AM ET$0.23Mar 5, 15:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 10AM ET$0.08Mar 5, 15:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 10AM ET$0.21Mar 5, 15:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on February 21?$0.93Feb 21, 07:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on February 21?$0.07Feb 21, 07:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 43/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $1.22
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 28, 14:14 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 25, 06:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.