Confused-Arena
0x056e10ab7f575b86cf2f3de58b8165adb7bbc0f4
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
42
Open notional
$4.8K
Total PnL
$-3.1K
Realised
$32.31
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 42- NO
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
2600 shares @ 50.0¢·now 81.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.1K
$815.10
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in May?
702 shares @ 99.7¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$700.35
$0.35
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?
507 shares @ 98.7¢·now 99.3¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$503.04
$3.04
- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
2600 shares @ 50.0¢·now 18.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$484.90
$-815.10
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
204 shares @ 98.2¢·now 99.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$201.56
$1.56
- YES
Will Lionel Messi play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
209 shares @ 95.8¢·now 95.8¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$199.99
$-0.01
- OLYMPIACOS B.C.
Olympiacos B.C. vs. Fenerbahce
148 shares @ 67.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$147.46
$48.61
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
123 shares @ 97.5¢·now 98.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$120.68
$0.68
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
595 shares @ 16.8¢·now 17.2¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$102.08
$2.08
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?
101 shares @ 99.2¢·now 99.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$100.30
$0.30
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested by June 30?$73.75May 22, 09:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYOlympiacos B.C. vs. Fenerbahce$99.83May 22, 08:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon (AMZN) close above $255 on May 22?$53.01May 22, 07:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple (AAPL) close above $290 on May 22?$50.01May 22, 07:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 20?$100.10May 22, 06:18 UTC
- REDEEMJarrett Allen: Points O/U 2.5$102.53May 22, 03:36 UTC
- YIELD$0.12May 22, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYJarrett Allen: Points O/U 2.5$101.05May 21, 21:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SC Heerenveen win on 2026-05-21?$100.92May 21, 21:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested by June 30?$58.10May 21, 20:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Al Fayha Saudi Club win on 2026-05-21?$57.99May 21, 20:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SC Heerenveen win on 2026-05-21?$100.04May 21, 20:24 UTC
- TRADESELLPittsburgh Pirates vs. St. Louis Cardinals$100.50May 21, 20:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Al Fayha Saudi Club win on 2026-05-21?$58.00May 21, 19:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYPittsburgh Pirates vs. St. Louis Cardinals$100.02May 21, 19:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $1.30 on May 21?$100.10May 21, 19:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$120.12May 21, 15:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lionel Messi play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$200.25May 21, 15:06 UTC
- SPLITWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$2.5KMay 21, 14:56 UTC
- SPLITWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$100.00May 21, 14:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $662.40
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 13, 16:16 UTC
- Last active
- May 22, 09:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".