Anxious-Bifocals
0x0579a5c0f67cbda28c28d2f96969d8601ab15f52
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.0K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Internet access restored in Iran by Friday?
8557 shares @ 4.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-378.98
- YES
Will Khamenei leave Iran by March 31?
4665 shares @ 15.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-712.26
- YES
Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
2491 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?
1503 shares @ 26.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-400.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
786 shares @ 24.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-191.55
- YES
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
435 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Khamenei leave Iran by December 31?
260 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-46.72
- YES
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 1?
240 shares @ 6.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-16.00
- YES
Will the US next strike Iran on February 23, 2026 (ET)?
90 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?
89 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 1?$16.00Mar 1, 13:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Khamenei leave Iran by December 31?$46.72Feb 28, 17:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?$46.72Feb 28, 17:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Khamenei leave Iran by March 31?$542.26Feb 28, 07:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?$12.40Feb 21, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran on February 21, 2026 (ET)?$2.00Feb 21, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran on February 23, 2026 (ET)?$2.00Feb 21, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran on February 22, 2026 (ET)?$2.00Feb 21, 00:11 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$18.10Feb 21, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?$40.00Jan 30, 23:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Khamenei leave Iran by March 31?$100.00Jan 30, 23:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?$100.00Jan 30, 23:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Khamenei leave Iran by March 31?$70.00Jan 30, 23:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$100.00Jan 30, 22:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?$300.00Jan 30, 22:57 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?$0.20Jan 27, 00:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$71.55Jan 22, 04:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?$20.00Jan 22, 04:49 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?$91.49Jan 22, 04:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYInternet access restored in Iran by Friday?$82.00Jan 22, 03:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $67.30
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 28, 00:07 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 1, 13:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.