0x0579f39e955d4cff48639045ef31c29891877cb0
0x0579f39e955d4cff48639045ef31c29891877cb0
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$9.06
Total PnL
$2.54
Realised
$1.34
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
6 shares @ 20.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$5.50
$4.40
- NO
Will the World team win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game?
4 shares @ 60.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026$3.56
$1.41
- NO
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
5 shares @ 70.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.50
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on February 15?
1 shares @ 79.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.10
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$3.50Feb 28, 06:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the World team win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game?$0.00Feb 24, 11:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the World team win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game?$0.00Feb 24, 11:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$1.10Feb 23, 06:29 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$2.20Feb 23, 03:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$1.10Feb 23, 01:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$1.10Feb 23, 00:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the World team win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game?$1.10Feb 15, 06:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the World team win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game?$1.01Feb 15, 06:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the World team win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game?$1.10Feb 15, 06:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the World team win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game?$0.96Feb 15, 05:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on February 15?$1.10Feb 15, 05:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the World team win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game?$2.00Feb 15, 05:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$1.10Feb 15, 02:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$1.00Jan 22, 01:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
13 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 58/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 13
- Avg trade size
- $1.41
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 22, 01:46 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 28, 06:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.