Exciting-Impediment
0x0581dcb7e6b1e64783cb851bbf1199ea2e0999ea
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-42.28
Realised
$-0.28
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 45 million views on day 1?
1000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.65
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on March 23?
500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$0.00
$-0.50
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get 59 million or more views on day 2?
210 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.10
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 20 million views on day 1?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 20 and 25 million views on day 1?
100 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.20
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 56 and 59 million views on day 2?
100 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.70
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET
58 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.75
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 6AM ET
50 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$0.00
$-0.25
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET
50 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$0.00
$-0.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 53 million views on day 2?$1.38Mar 23, 10:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 56 and 59 million views on day 2?$1.61Mar 23, 09:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 56 and 59 million views on day 2?$0.09Mar 23, 09:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 53 million views on day 2?$3.08Mar 23, 08:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 53 million views on day 2?$5.81Mar 23, 08:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast's next video get between 56 and 59 million views on day 2?$1.50Mar 23, 08:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 56 and 59 million views on day 2?$1.50Mar 23, 08:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get 59 million or more views on day 2?$0.04Mar 23, 07:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get 59 million or more views on day 2?$0.07Mar 23, 07:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get 59 million or more views on day 2?$0.35Mar 23, 06:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get 59 million or more views on day 2?$0.10Mar 23, 06:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get 59 million or more views on day 2?$0.18Mar 23, 06:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get 59 million or more views on day 2?$0.02Mar 23, 06:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get 59 million or more views on day 2?$0.03Mar 23, 06:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get 59 million or more views on day 2?$0.25Mar 23, 06:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get 59 million or more views on day 2?$0.08Mar 23, 06:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on March 23?$0.50Mar 23, 02:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 45 million views on day 1?$0.15Mar 22, 12:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 45 million views on day 1?$0.30Mar 22, 12:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 45 million views on day 1?$0.60Mar 22, 11:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 43/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $1.51
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 21, 11:04 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 23, 10:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.