Wretched-Situation
0x0599c08ea443056fcd341ca0ef2b36accb5963d0
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$16.06
Total PnL
$-0.70
Realised
$-0.88
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Rastriya Swatantra Party win the most seats in the Nepal House of Representatives election?
10 shares @ 98.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 5, 2026$10.16
$0.16
- NO
Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
4 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$3.52
$0.01
- NO
Will Fulham win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
2 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$2.38
$0.01
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$423.73Mar 7, 01:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rastriya Swatantra Party win the most seats in the Nepal House of Representatives election?$10.00Mar 6, 04:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$427.66Mar 6, 04:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Fulham win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$451.30Mar 6, 04:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fulham win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$454.12Mar 6, 04:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ali Khamenei be the first leader out in 2025?$1.20Mar 6, 04:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?$1.27Mar 6, 04:06 UTC
- REDEEMUkraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2025?$1.35Mar 6, 04:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Erling Haaland score the most total goals in the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup?$2.22Mar 6, 04:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill DraftKings launch a prediction market in 2025? $2.70Mar 6, 04:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$3.80Mar 6, 04:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$3.00Dec 13, 13:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DraftKings launch a prediction market in 2025? $2.00Dec 13, 13:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Erling Haaland score the most total goals in the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup?$2.00Jun 30, 08:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?$1.00Jun 30, 08:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ali Khamenei be the first leader out in 2025?$1.00Jun 30, 08:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Stuttgart win the Bundesliga?$1.00Jun 30, 08:02 UTC
- REDEEMFauci extradited to Russia before April?$1.01Jun 30, 08:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Orlando Magic win the Eastern Conference?$1.04Jun 30, 08:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ontario resume electricity surcharge to the U.S. by next Friday?$2.05Jun 30, 08:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
26 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 71/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $69.34
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 5, 08:13 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 7, 01:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.