Aged-Insert
0x05a0b14554b61f23ff99637f69d38556f5ba22ba
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
15
Open notional
$203.16
Total PnL
$-1.2K
Realised
$-85.41
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
1259 shares @ 7.6¢·now 11.2¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$141.05
$44.87
- YES
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
2105 shares @ 8.7¢·now 2.9¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$62.11
$-121.32
- NO
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?
5418 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-71.42
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 25, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 25 million views on day 1?
2000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Rafał Trzaskowski win by over 12%?
1266 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2025$0.00
$-13.05
- NO
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?
1035 shares @ 10.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-104.09
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Catalin Drula finish third in the 2025 Bucharest mayoral by-election?
949 shares @ 20.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-198.86
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$21.04Jun 15, 21:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$21.16Jun 15, 21:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$26.40May 1, 17:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$26.39May 1, 17:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$50.87May 1, 17:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$5.67Mar 14, 22:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$9.00Mar 14, 22:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$15.00Mar 14, 22:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$40.00Mar 14, 22:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$16.01Mar 7, 03:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$25.00Mar 7, 03:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$6.76Mar 6, 15:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$15.00Mar 6, 15:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$46.00Mar 6, 15:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$56.59Mar 1, 22:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$18.44Feb 24, 19:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$30.00Feb 24, 19:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$53.58Feb 6, 21:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$50.00Feb 6, 21:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?$11.10Dec 21, 22:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
12/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 69/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $28.07
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 23, 18:58 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 15, 21:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.