Wilted-Dibble
0x05a0c2150d31ab1adc6a8b1b8f9ba146a3cd379e
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
24
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-617.62
Realised
$520.06
Win rate
75%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 24- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET
3145 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-116.33
- YES
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-04-16?
1617 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2026$0.00
$-4.85
- YES
Will FC Porto win on 2026-04-16?
1295 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2026$0.00
$-38.83
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET
1059 shares @ 8.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-93.44
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET
941 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-46.58
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET
486 shares @ 24.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-120.56
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET
388 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-23.31
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET
317 shares @ 7.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-23.33
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET
303 shares @ 26.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-81.58
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET
289 shares @ 8.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-24.86
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET$38.43Apr 17, 07:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET$25.00Apr 17, 07:24 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET$0.00Apr 17, 07:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET$26.61Apr 17, 07:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET$5.00Apr 17, 07:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET$100.00Apr 17, 07:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill SC Braga win on 2026-04-16?$4.86Apr 17, 07:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-04-16?$136.51Apr 16, 20:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-04-16?$5.00Apr 16, 20:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Porto win on 2026-04-16?$40.00Apr 16, 20:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SC Braga win on 2026-04-16?$0.35Apr 16, 19:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-04-16?$35.00Apr 16, 19:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET$5.00Apr 13, 07:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET$100.00Apr 12, 21:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET$15.00Apr 12, 21:09 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET$9.69Apr 12, 21:08 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET$5.90Apr 12, 21:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET$25.00Apr 12, 21:07 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET$21.01Apr 12, 21:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET$12.29Apr 12, 21:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
20/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
75% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $66.21
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 11, 08:18 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 17, 07:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.