Late-Circle-Future
0x05ac64dcf09298cb35ac643183e432b21f276d71
Wallet digest
Activity score
86/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
44
Open notional
$3.1K
Total PnL
$-199.61
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 44- NO
Will Neuralink's valuation hit (HIGH) $47.5B by July 31?
410 shares @ 99.0¢·now 87.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$356.70
$-49.20
- YES
Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 35% or higher?
250 shares @ 98.0¢·now 96.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$241.00
$-3.99
- NO
Will Epic Games' valuation hit (LOW) $10.5B by July 31?
202 shares @ 97.7¢·now 99.5¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$200.66
$3.56
- YES
Will any other model be the best AI model on August 1, 2026?
150 shares @ 97.5¢·now 99.5¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$149.25
$3.00
- NO
Will Anduril's valuation hit (LOW) $70B by July 31?
133 shares @ 98.8¢·now 98.7¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$131.31
$-0.12
- NO
Will Epic Games' valuation hit (HIGH) $17.5B by August 31?
135 shares @ 92.7¢·now 95.5¢·exp Sep 1, 2026$129.23
$3.78
- NO
Will Trump's approval rating be between 38.5 and 38.9 on July 31, 2026?
122 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$122.27
$1.16
- YES
Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 40% or higher?
116 shares @ 92.0¢·now 93.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$108.24
$1.16
- NO
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1510?
104 shares @ 69.9¢·now 93.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$96.38
$23.98
- YES
Will Trump's approval rating be between 38.0 and 38.4 on July 31, 2026?
100 shares @ 97.4¢·now 95.3¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$95.66
$-2.02
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Glean's valuation hit (LOW) $6.5B by July 31?$18.04Aug 1, 08:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Neuralink's valuation hit (HIGH) $47.5B by July 31?$406.06Aug 1, 08:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Revolut's valuation hit (HIGH) $110B by July 31?$99.20Aug 1, 08:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in August?$19.07Aug 1, 08:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Epic Games' valuation hit (HIGH) $17.5B by August 31?$69.95Aug 1, 07:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Epic Games' valuation hit (HIGH) $15B by August 31?$51.14Aug 1, 06:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Ethereum Volatility Index hit 90 by July 31?$5.00Aug 1, 06:05 UTC
- REDEEMMegaquake by July 31?$200.00Aug 1, 06:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Ethereum Volatility Index hit 100 by July 31?$5.00Aug 1, 06:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Ethereum Volatility Index hit 80 by July 31?$75.02Aug 1, 06:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 60 by July 31?$240.00Aug 1, 06:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Epic Games' valuation hit (HIGH) $15B by August 31?$21.69Aug 1, 06:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Epic Games' valuation hit (HIGH) $17.5B by August 31?$55.87Aug 1, 06:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in August?$19.07Aug 1, 05:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude go down 5-7 times in August?$55.86Aug 1, 05:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude go down fewer than 5 times in August?$97.12Aug 1, 05:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the #2 AI model at the end of July 2026?$87.95Jul 31, 21:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?$300.08Jul 31, 21:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX (SPCX) close above $170 end of July?$0.00Jul 31, 21:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX (SPCX) close above $160 end of July?$0.00Jul 31, 21:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
36 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 56/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $48.53
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 29, 20:58 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 1, 08:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.