0x05b2d7a14cb079256cd23457e0468c24b98cc70d
0x05b2d7a14cb079256cd23457e0468c24b98cc70d
Wallet digest
Activity score
90/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
91
Open notional
$189.67
Total PnL
$5.46
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 91- NO
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
18 shares @ 25.5¢·now 78.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$14.29
$9.65
- NO
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
22 shares @ 20.9¢·now 25.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$5.50
$0.90
- NO
Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on August 1, 2026?
6 shares @ 90.0¢·now 99.1¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$5.49
$0.50
- NO
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
32 shares @ 14.4¢·now 14.4¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$4.59
$-0.01
- NO
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
6 shares @ 81.0¢·now 76.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$4.47
$-0.29
- NO
Will Jay Collins be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?
4 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.4¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$4.12
$-0.02
- NO
Will NYC Mayor post 80-99 posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026?
4 shares @ 99.9¢·now 97.0¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$4.05
$-0.12
- NO
Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026?
6 shares @ 67.2¢·now 63.0¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$4.04
$-0.27
- NO
Will NYC Mayor post 60-79 posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026?
4 shares @ 92.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$4.04
$0.11
- NO
Will NYC Mayor post 200+ posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026?
4 shares @ 99.9¢·now 96.2¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$4.01
$-0.15
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYVisa (V) Q2 payments volume growth (constant dollars) 9.5%-10.5%?$0.53Jul 28, 20:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 29°C on July 28?$1.20Jul 28, 19:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on July 28?$1.21Jul 28, 19:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C on July 28?$1.21Jul 28, 19:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on July 28?$1.27Jul 28, 19:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on July 28?$1.46Jul 28, 19:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 37°C on July 30?$1.20Jul 28, 19:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 37°C on July 30?$2.10Jul 28, 19:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 37°C or higher on July 28?$1.20Jul 28, 19:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?$1.20Jul 28, 19:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?$2.89Jul 28, 19:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on July 29?$1.20Jul 28, 18:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 36°C on July 29?$1.20Jul 28, 18:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill MrBeast's next video get between 26 and 27 million views on day 3?$0.00Jul 28, 18:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Khamenei post 15-19 posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026?$3.97Jul 28, 18:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill MrBeast's next video get between 27 and 28 million views on day 3?$4.06Jul 28, 18:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the median home value in San Francisco Metro be at least $1,284,000 on September 30?$1.20Jul 28, 15:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Darijana Filipović be the Croat Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election?$1.20Jul 28, 15:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the median home value in San Francisco Metro be between $1,264,000 and $1,284,000 on September 30?$3.98Jul 28, 15:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on July 30?$1.20Jul 28, 15:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
41 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 45/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $1.66
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 28, 13:43 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 20:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.