Clear-Cut-Bear
0x05c4503ff23a7883552895b08d96419ba4e168ec
Wallet digest
Activity score
46/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-15.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will Toni Kroos win the Ballon d’Or?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 28, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will any other Republican Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
400 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
SpaceX Starship 7th launch by Jan 10?
286 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 15, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will FDP win the most seats in the next German election?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2025 meeting?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Biden pardon Diddy?
125 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by January 31, 2025?
111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet less than 55 times?
100 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 24, 2024$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the Texans win Super Bowl 2025?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after March 2025 meeting?
91 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIsrael strike on Iran on June 26?$1.00Jun 23, 12:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after March 2025 meeting?$1.00Jan 8, 15:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Texans win Super Bowl 2025?$1.00Jan 8, 15:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX Starship 7th launch by Jan 10?$1.00Jan 8, 15:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jagmeet Singh be the next Canadian Prime Minister?$1.00Jan 8, 15:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX Starship 7th launch by Jan 10?$1.00Jan 8, 15:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2025 meeting?$1.00Jan 8, 15:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FDP win the most seats in the next German election?$1.00Jan 8, 15:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Biden pardon Diddy?$1.00Jan 8, 15:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $200,000 by January 31, 2025?$1.00Jan 8, 15:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Toni Kroos win the Ballon d’Or?$1.00Sep 25, 23:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any other Republican Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$2.00May 20, 19:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet less than 55 times?$2.00May 20, 19:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 13
- Avg trade size
- $1.15
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 20, 19:14 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 23, 12:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".