Robust-Fatigues
0x05c5388c3058e9380f6e8fa24ced79eab123bdf3
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- YES
Will another driver win the 2024 F1 season?
150 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2024$0.00
$-0.15
- YES
Will Republicans control 225 seats in the House after the election?
147 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 17, 2024$0.00
$-0.15
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2024 meeting?
142 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 18, 2024$0.00
$-0.14
- YES
Will the Republican candidate win Pennsylvania by 0%-0.5%?
142 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.14
- YES
Will Coldplay be the Billboard #1 pop star of the century?
134 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-0.13
- NO
Will the Republican candidate win Iowa by 10.0% or more?
134 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.13
- YES
Will Republicans have 54 seats in Senate after election?
122 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.12
- YES
Democrats win popular vote by 0-1%?
120 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-0.12
- YES
Will 'Dune: Part 2' gross most in 2024?
110 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2024$0.00
$-0.11
- YES
Will Jackson Arnold win the Heisman Trophy?
100 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 14, 2024$0.00
$-0.10
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill 'Dune: Part 2' gross most in 2024?$0.00Dec 17, 11:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'Dune: Part 2' gross most in 2024?$0.06Dec 17, 11:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'Dune: Part 2' gross most in 2024?$0.04Dec 17, 11:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'Dune: Part 2' gross most in 2024?$0.01Dec 17, 11:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2024 meeting?$0.06Dec 12, 03:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2024 meeting?$0.08Dec 12, 03:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jackson Arnold win the Heisman Trophy?$0.10Dec 3, 12:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican candidate win Iowa by 10.0% or more? $0.13Nov 30, 19:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another driver win the 2024 F1 season?$0.15Nov 24, 13:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Coldplay be the Billboard #1 pop star of the century?$0.13Nov 19, 14:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Republicans have 54 seats in Senate after election?$0.12Nov 13, 10:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Republicans control 225 seats in the House after the election?$0.15Nov 12, 17:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican candidate win Pennsylvania by 0%-0.5%?$0.08Nov 12, 15:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican candidate win Pennsylvania by 0%-0.5%?$0.04Nov 12, 01:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican candidate win Pennsylvania by 0%-0.5%?$0.00Nov 11, 22:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican candidate win Pennsylvania by 0%-0.5%?$0.02Nov 11, 21:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill AZ Alkmaar win the UEFA Europa League?$184.31Nov 11, 16:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AZ Alkmaar win the UEFA Europa League?$184.50Nov 11, 16:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gallego win Arizona Senate election by 0-1%?$184.81Nov 11, 16:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet less than 150 times November 8-15?$0.13Nov 11, 16:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
41 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $69.55
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 8, 19:49 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 17, 11:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.