Necessary-Curd
0x05c76359bc0c4818b309be33dccbe960db3af3e8
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
70
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-14.7K
Realised
$-615.40
Win rate
0%
70 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 70- YES
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?
52078 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$0.00
$-109.85
- YES
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-29?
51000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$0.00
$-50.95
- YES
Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?
10678 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$0.00
$-109.99
- YES
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?
6008 shares @ 23.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.4K
- YES
Will Norway vs. France end in a draw?
5118 shares @ 5.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$0.00
$-277.92
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET
4221 shares @ 14.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$0.00
$-624.99
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET
3867 shares @ 10.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$0.00
$-414.99
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET
3571 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$0.00
$-319.99
- YES
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?
3447 shares @ 20.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-700.83
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET
3135 shares @ 15.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$0.00
$-474.99
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.06Jul 21, 20:08 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 21, 00:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.0KJul 20, 14:48 UTC
- REDEEMSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$514.49Jul 20, 14:47 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$2.42Jul 20, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$360.50Jul 19, 21:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win on 2026-07-19?$104.53Jul 19, 21:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win on 2026-07-19?$52.72Jul 19, 21:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win on 2026-07-19?$134.88Jul 19, 21:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win on 2026-07-19?$206.75Jul 19, 20:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win on 2026-07-19?$226.69Jul 19, 19:08 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 19, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 18, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 17, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 16, 00:12 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$2.42Jul 16, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET$104.83Jul 15, 20:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET$106.30Jul 15, 20:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET$5.34Jul 15, 20:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET$5.33Jul 15, 20:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
53/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 70 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
36 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 36/100.
70 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $107.50
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 14, 19:59 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 20:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 70 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.