Worldly-Crime
0x05c8cce6a8271a20a48babac2095c673676d2223
Wallet digest
Activity score
94/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$2.2K
Total PnL
$138.70
Realised
$-6.06
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?
550 shares @ 68.5¢·now 83.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$456.91
$80.01
- YES
Will Iván Cepeda Castro place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?
400 shares @ 86.1¢·now 99.1¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$396.62
$52.01
- YES
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
300 shares @ 90.0¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$298.96
$28.85
- NO
Will Trump say "Crypto / Bitcoin" during Pennsylvania events?
203 shares @ 98.6¢·now 97.7¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$198.13
$-1.87
- NO
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?
200 shares @ 73.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$181.00
$35.00
- NO
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 21, 2026?
201 shares @ 73.0¢·now 70.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$142.46
$-4.44
- YES
Labour leadership election scheduled by July 31?
103 shares @ 96.9¢·now 98.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$101.83
$1.83
- YES
Labour leadership election scheduled by December 31, 2026?
101 shares @ 98.8¢·now 98.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$99.90
$-0.10
- YES
Will Trump speak to Mark Rutte in June?
100 shares @ 91.0¢·now 99.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$99.39
$8.40
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 on June 24?
101 shares @ 84.9¢·now 80.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$81.08
$-4.92
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $64,000 on June 24?$86.91Jun 24, 08:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $65,000 on June 23?$200.00Jun 24, 04:14 UTC
- REDEEMChicago Cubs vs. New York Mets$100.00Jun 24, 02:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYChicago Cubs vs. New York Mets$94.00Jun 24, 01:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Crypto / Bitcoin" during Pennsylvania events?$100.05Jun 23, 19:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Crypto / Bitcoin" during Pennsylvania events?$100.07Jun 23, 19:39 UTC
- REDEEMPortugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 5.5$59.00Jun 23, 19:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?$15.00Jun 23, 19:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?$40.00Jun 23, 19:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?$55.00Jun 23, 19:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?$14.23Jun 23, 18:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYPortugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 5.5$36.40Jun 23, 18:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYPortugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 5.5$16.91Jun 23, 18:57 UTC
- REDEEMWimbledon, Qualification WTA: Fiona Crawley vs Himeno Sakatsume$0.00Jun 23, 18:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill the announcers say "Handball" during the France vs Iraq FIFA World Cup Match?$42.13Jun 23, 15:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWimbledon, Qualification WTA: Fiona Crawley vs Himeno Sakatsume$100.05Jun 23, 12:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 21, 2026?$76.76Jun 23, 07:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the announcers say "Handball" during the France vs Iraq FIFA World Cup Match?$41.04Jun 23, 06:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $65,000 on June 23?$89.00Jun 23, 06:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $65,000 on June 23?$90.63Jun 23, 06:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
36 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 59/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $49.35
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 22, 12:53 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 24, 08:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.