Improbable-Exhibition-Dictionary
0x05c9749cd7627323c603ff2494220e9b055e1606
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
131
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-287.05
Realised
$-9.06
Win rate
0%
131 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 131- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET
1000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET
979 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET
59 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET
58 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET
52 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-2.60
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET
38 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET
33 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET
28 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET
21 shares @ 60.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-12.40
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - August 14, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET$2.05Aug 14, 13:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - August 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET$2.05Aug 14, 06:22 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - August 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET$0.00Aug 14, 06:04 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - August 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET$1.56Aug 14, 06:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - August 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET$1.03Aug 14, 05:55 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - August 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET$1.92Aug 14, 05:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - August 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET$1.03Aug 14, 05:44 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - August 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET$2.17Aug 14, 04:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - August 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET$1.04Aug 14, 04:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - August 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET$1.02Aug 13, 12:31 UTC
- TRADESELLXRP Up or Down - August 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET$1.13Aug 13, 12:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - August 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET$1.05Aug 13, 12:30 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - August 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET$2.27Aug 13, 08:41 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - August 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET$1.25Aug 13, 08:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - August 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET$1.04Aug 13, 08:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - August 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET$1.01Aug 13, 08:31 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - August 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET$0.00Aug 13, 08:31 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - August 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET$1.33Aug 13, 08:31 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - August 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET$1.35Aug 13, 08:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - August 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET$1.02Aug 13, 08:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
63/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 131 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
32 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 22/100.
131 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $1.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 10, 06:25 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 14, 13:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 131 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.