Flat-Eligibility
0x05d85961e5e9b9d227c5e3d901e3b584cc612ae6
Wallet digest
Activity score
46/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-6.74
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will Elon tweet 350-374 times Dec 27-Jan 3?
1150 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 3, 2025$0.00
$-1.15
- YES
Ipswich Town wins the Premier League?
1090 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2025$0.00
$-1.09
- YES
Will Elon tweet 500-524 times Jan 17-24?
1050 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 24, 2025$0.00
$-1.05
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by January 31, 2025?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Jalen Hurts be the top Fantasy Quarterback?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump get 72-74m votes in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election?
280 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.28
- YES
Democrats win popular vote by 7% or more?
280 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-0.28
- YES
Will Elon tweet 325-349 times Dec 6-13?
250 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 13, 2024$0.00
$-0.25
- YES
GOP wins popular vote by 1.75-2.0%?
240 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-0.24
- YES
Will another candidate get the most votes of any 3rd party candidate?
200 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.20
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIpswich Town wins the Premier League?$1.09Feb 5, 15:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 500-524 times Jan 17-24?$1.05Jan 23, 14:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $100,000 by January 31, 2025?$1.00Jan 6, 16:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 350-374 times Dec 27-Jan 3?$1.15Jan 3, 15:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jalen Hurts be the top Fantasy Quarterback?$1.00Dec 30, 11:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another candidate get the most votes of any 3rd party candidate?$0.20Dec 14, 11:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYGOP wins popular vote by 1.75-2.0%?$0.24Dec 12, 16:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 325-349 times Dec 6-13?$0.25Dec 12, 16:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump get 72-74m votes in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election?$0.28Dec 11, 19:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill RFK Jr. win 4-5% of the popular vote?$0.20Dec 11, 19:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYDemocrats win popular vote by 7% or more?$0.28Dec 11, 19:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
11 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 42/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 11
- Avg trade size
- $0.61
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 11, 19:40 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 5, 15:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.