Neglected-Execution
0x05d9bf5b960d29e63e43751cf20801f009e1ecd7
Wallet digest
Activity score
51/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
70
Open notional
$94.38
Total PnL
$-58.4K
Realised
$-7.3K
Win rate
3%
69 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 70- YES
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2026 World Series?
5750 shares @ 0.3¢·now 1.6¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$89.12
$71.13
- YES
Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2026 World Series?
83 shares @ 6.0¢·now 6.3¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$5.26
$0.26
- YES
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
542552 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-3.3K
- JOEL SCHWAERZLER
Brownsburg: Joel Schwaerzler vs Andres Andrade
200000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 17, 2026$0.00
$-199.81
- YES
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?
99470 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-4.0K
- YES
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
52632 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-999.95
- YES
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
44982 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-944.59
- NO
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?
20931 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$0.00
$-999.98
- YES
Will Rayo Vallecano win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa Conference League?
14920 shares @ 39.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$0.00
$-5.8K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 1AM ET
10018 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 5, 2026$0.00
$-2.0K
Recent activity
- TAKER_REBATE$2.74Aug 14, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYNational Bank Open: Iga Swiatek vs Elena Rybakina$197.31Aug 13, 22:41 UTC
- TRADESELLCincinnati Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jan Choinski$391.97Aug 13, 22:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYCincinnati Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jan Choinski$197.81Aug 13, 21:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYTodi: Daniel Michalski vs Lukas Neumayer$553.03Aug 13, 19:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBrownsburg: Joel Schwaerzler vs Andres Andrade$209.99Aug 13, 19:00 UTC
- TRADESELLSeattle Mariners vs. New York Yankees$304.37Aug 13, 18:59 UTC
- TRADESELLPáfos FC vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: Team to Advance$366.48Aug 13, 18:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYSeattle Mariners vs. New York Yankees$307.20Aug 13, 18:31 UTC
- REDEEMCincinnati Open: Daria Kasatkina vs Zeynep Sonmez$666.67Aug 13, 17:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYPittsburgh Pirates vs. Miami Marlins$340.99Aug 13, 17:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYCincinnati Open: Daria Kasatkina vs Zeynep Sonmez$104.25Aug 13, 16:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYPáfos FC vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: Team to Advance$302.85Aug 13, 16:38 UTC
- TRADESELLBrownsburg: Edas Butvilas vs Daniel Milavsky$1.3KAug 13, 16:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBrownsburg: Edas Butvilas vs Daniel Milavsky$849.05Aug 13, 16:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2026 World Series?$1.05Aug 10, 04:39 UTC
- REDEEMTampa Bay Rays vs. Seattle Mariners$1.7KAug 9, 23:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYTampa Bay Rays vs. Seattle Mariners$517.50Aug 9, 20:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Chicago Cubs win the 2026 World Series?$1.05Aug 9, 20:20 UTC
- TRADESELLAthletics vs. Boston Red Sox$1.5KAug 9, 20:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
52/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
3% win rate over 69 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
45 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 63/100.
69 closed markets, 3% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $276.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 5, 05:45 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 14, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 69 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.