Rewarding-Secretariat
0x05e17fb524aa6896de92dec88db2f0e4dd5285a2
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$252.57
Total PnL
$-145.9K
Realised
$-709.22
Win rate
33%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series?
455 shares @ 33.0¢·now 32.5¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$147.73
$-2.27
- YES
Will the New York Yankees win the 2026 World Series?
385 shares @ 13.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$48.08
$-1.92
- YES
Will the Seattle Mariners win the 2026 World Series?
392 shares @ 7.2¢·now 6.7¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$26.04
$-2.15
- YES
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship?
645 shares @ 3.1¢·now 3.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2027$19.68
$-0.32
- YES
Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 World Series?
435 shares @ 2.3¢·now 2.5¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$11.04
$1.04
- YES
Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
262500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-525.00
- YES
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
155357 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-874.82
- YES
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
153386 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-2.2K
- YES
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
131600 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.9K
- YES
Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?
126268 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-378.80
Recent activity
- REDEEMLos Angeles Dodgers vs. Philadelphia Phillies$2.5KJul 22, 02:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series?$155.02Jul 22, 02:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYLos Angeles Dodgers vs. Philadelphia Phillies$515.50Jul 22, 00:46 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$1.25Jul 22, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYLos Angeles Dodgers vs. Philadelphia Phillies$513.00Jul 21, 21:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYLos Angeles Dodgers vs. Philadelphia Phillies$27.29Jul 21, 13:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYLos Angeles Dodgers vs. Philadelphia Phillies$48.67Jul 21, 13:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 World Series?$10.49Jul 21, 11:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the New York Yankees win the 2026 World Series?$52.17Jul 21, 11:12 UTC
- REDEEMPittsburgh Pirates vs. New York Yankees$961.54Jul 21, 02:14 UTC
- REDEEMMinnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Guardians$253.16Jul 21, 01:41 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jul 21, 00:14 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$1.13Jul 21, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYMinnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Guardians$202.10Jul 20, 23:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYPittsburgh Pirates vs. New York Yankees$512.00Jul 20, 23:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$9.6KJul 20, 01:47 UTC
- YIELD$1.66Jul 20, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$1.72Jul 19, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$1.73Jul 18, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?$1.96Jul 17, 17:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
21/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
33% win rate over 6 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
36 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 72/100.
6 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $159.86
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 15, 03:35 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 02:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.