Inferior-Waveform
0x0600fe1b86c1e291f1bfa13517ad05827244417a
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
41
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-447.25
Realised
$61.99
Win rate
60%
15 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 41- YES
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 22 to January 24, 2026?
600 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 24, 2026$0.00
$-41.75
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from January 19 to January 21, 2026?
463 shares @ 4.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-19.10
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - January 30, 3PM ET
450 shares @ 7.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-31.87
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - February 4, 4PM ET
300 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$0.00
$-4.20
- YES
Will Bad Bunny say "Fuck ICE" at the Big Game?
204 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?
200 shares @ 20.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-40.20
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?
200 shares @ 10.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-20.40
- UP
Solana Up or Down - January 30, 3PM ET
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?
180 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.98
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - January 30, 4PM ET
173 shares @ 5.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Mexico win on 2026-07-05?$38.67Jul 6, 01:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico win on 2026-07-05?$15.43Jul 6, 01:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 12PM ET$5.00Feb 11, 16:58 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 11AM ET$6.39Feb 11, 16:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 11AM ET$5.00Feb 11, 16:44 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - February 9, 4PM ET$25.00Feb 10, 20:13 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 3PM ET$0.00Feb 9, 22:21 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 3PM ET$30.00Feb 9, 22:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - February 9, 4PM ET$0.15Feb 9, 21:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - February 9, 4PM ET$1.10Feb 9, 21:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - February 9, 4PM ET$21.50Feb 9, 21:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 4PM ET$1.20Feb 9, 21:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 4PM ET$0.20Feb 9, 21:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 4PM ET$0.20Feb 9, 21:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 4PM ET$0.20Feb 9, 21:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 4PM ET$0.20Feb 9, 21:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 4PM ET$0.20Feb 9, 21:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 4PM ET$0.20Feb 9, 21:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 4PM ET$0.20Feb 9, 21:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 4PM ET$0.20Feb 9, 21:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
39/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
60% win rate over 15 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 36/100.
15 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $4.22
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 5, 22:22 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 6, 01:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 15 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.