Verifiable-Group
0x06025021620872df618aed9be95f607305ce6677
Wallet digest
Activity score
88/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$195.72
Total PnL
$-0.62
Realised
$0.15
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
50 shares @ 98.9¢·now 99.2¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$49.60
$0.15
- NO
Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
50 shares @ 98.6¢·now 98.5¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$49.23
$-0.07
- NO
Will António Guterres win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
50 shares @ 98.7¢·now 98.2¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$49.08
$-0.27
- NO
Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
50 shares @ 96.8¢·now 95.7¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$47.83
$-0.57
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$49.35Jul 16, 12:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill António Guterres win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$49.35Jul 14, 00:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$20.16Jul 11, 07:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$29.14Jul 8, 15:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Xi Jinping win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$49.50Jul 8, 10:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$4.02Jul 5, 10:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$44.23Jul 5, 08:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$9.93Jun 30, 19:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$25.53Jun 30, 18:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$12.74Jun 30, 16:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Narendra Modi win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$43.64Jun 22, 21:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Narendra Modi win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$5.40Jun 22, 21:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$25.76Jun 18, 17:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$23.54Jun 18, 14:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Narendra Modi win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$49.00Jun 18, 07:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Narendra Modi win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$40.83Jun 17, 02:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Narendra Modi win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$8.26Jun 17, 01:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$5.30Jun 13, 23:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$44.10Jun 13, 23:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$46.19Jun 9, 21:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 58/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $28.97
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 5, 09:48 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 16, 12:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.