0x0609fffa7fd2d94293b79b7c59b23947727ee235
0x0609fffa7fd2d94293b79b7c59b23947727ee235
Wallet digest
Activity score
86/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$188.00
Total PnL
$-5.18
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- IAN MACHADO GARRY
UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)
200 shares @ 25.0¢·now 24.5¢·exp Aug 16, 2026$49.00
$-1.00
- SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS
Spread: San Francisco Giants (-1.5)
45 shares @ 44.0¢·now 43.5¢·exp Aug 15, 2026$19.77
$-0.23
- CHICAGO CUBS
Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)
45 shares @ 44.0¢·now 43.5¢·exp Aug 15, 2026$19.77
$-0.23
- KANSAS CITY ROYALS
Kansas City Royals vs. Los Angeles Angels
49 shares @ 41.0¢·now 40.5¢·exp Aug 23, 2026$19.76
$-0.24
- TAMPA BAY RAYS
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)
53 shares @ 38.0¢·now 37.5¢·exp Aug 15, 2026$19.74
$-0.26
- PITTSBURGH PIRATES
Boston Red Sox vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
38 shares @ 47.0¢·now 46.5¢·exp Aug 22, 2026$17.81
$-0.19
- LOS ANGELES DODGERS
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
28 shares @ 47.0¢·now 46.5¢·exp Aug 22, 2026$13.05
$-0.14
- DOWN
Dogecoin Up or Down - August 15, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET
20 shares @ 51.0¢·now 50.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2026$9.80
$-0.20
- YES
Will Ian Machado Garry win by KO or TKO?
111 shares @ 9.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp Aug 16, 2026$9.44
$-0.56
- YES
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.2% in August?
50 shares @ 10.0¢·now 9.0¢·exp Sep 11, 2026$4.50
$-0.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYMilwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers$13.61Aug 15, 07:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBoston Red Sox vs. Pittsburgh Pirates$18.57Aug 15, 07:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYKansas City Royals vs. Los Angeles Angels$20.69Aug 15, 07:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)$20.72Aug 15, 07:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)$20.66Aug 15, 07:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: San Francisco Giants (-1.5)$20.66Aug 15, 07:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 15?$3.22Aug 15, 07:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ian Machado Garry win by KO or TKO?$10.50Aug 15, 07:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)$52.13Aug 15, 07:22 UTC
- TRADESELLDota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner$44.36Aug 15, 07:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner$47.63Aug 15, 07:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill monthly inflation increase by 0.2% in August?$5.25Aug 15, 07:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?$2.11Aug 15, 07:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?$2.11Aug 15, 07:18 UTC
- TRADESELLDota 2: LGD Gaming vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - The International Group Stage$182.59Aug 15, 07:13 UTC
- REDEEMMilwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers$9.78Aug 15, 05:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: LGD Gaming vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - The International Group Stage$17.41Aug 15, 04:45 UTC
- REDEEMKansas City Royals vs. Los Angeles Angels$0.00Aug 15, 04:43 UTC
- TRADESELLDota 2: LGD Gaming vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winner$18.48Aug 15, 04:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: LGD Gaming vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winner$20.22Aug 15, 04:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
29 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 58/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $24.13
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 14, 23:11 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 15, 07:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.