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0x060a8de04ca63d5ea3f670a2b64e148bf604563b
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.8K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 50-55 million views on day 1?
7737 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 45-50 million views on day 1?
3240 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30-35 million views on day 1?
1843 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Taylor Swift's appearance on New Heights get between 30 and 40 million views the first week?
1120 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 20, 2025$0.00
$-16.00
- YES
Will Trump meet with Jerome Powell in August?
1029 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-29.00
- YES
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 10 Superheavy booster?
792 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Will USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by February 28?
742 shares @ 53.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-400.00
- YES
Will The Weeknd be the top Spotify artist for 2025?
714 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026?
656 shares @ 61.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-400.00
- YES
Will Taylor Swift's appearance on New Heights get between 20 and 30 million views the first week?
422 shares @ 47.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 20, 2025$0.00
$-200.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$384.77Mar 26, 10:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$384.78Mar 21, 12:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Epstein Data Set 13 be released by February 28?$384.78Mar 21, 12:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Epstein Data Set 13 be released by February 28?$263.50Feb 8, 21:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS downs another Iranian drone by February 28?$300.00Feb 8, 21:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by February 28?$400.00Feb 8, 21:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026?$400.00Feb 8, 21:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon tweet 225–239 times?$500.00Feb 8, 21:44 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Iran ceasefire broken by December 31?$863.49Feb 8, 21:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire broken by December 31?$201.28Nov 1, 15:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?$201.29Oct 31, 13:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?$51.09Sep 17, 20:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the UK recognize Palestine in 2025?$51.08Sep 17, 20:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?$302.93Sep 6, 16:59 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Iran ceasefire broken by December 31?$302.93Sep 6, 16:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the UK recognize Palestine in 2025?$48.71Sep 6, 16:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bruno Mars be the top Spotify artist for 2025?$48.70Sep 6, 16:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire broken by December 31?$656.64Aug 31, 15:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the UK recognize Palestine in 2025?$70.00Aug 26, 20:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon tweet 210–224 times August 22–August 29?$244.57Aug 26, 12:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 57/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $135.35
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 17, 10:17 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 26, 10:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.