Adolescent-Spill
0x060abb01b50e7b9be49623b52295c68b3d027659
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$151.49
Total PnL
$-167.18
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
300 shares @ 25.3¢·now 23.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$70.50
$-5.50
- YES
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1000 shares @ 2.8¢·now 2.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$27.50
$-0.50
- NO
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
40 shares @ 64.0¢·now 65.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$26.20
$0.60
- YES
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?
100 shares @ 21.0¢·now 19.5¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$19.50
$-1.50
- NO
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
100 shares @ 32.0¢·now 7.1¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$7.09
$-24.91
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
200 shares @ 5.8¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.70
$-10.88
- NO
Will Melat Kiros be the Democratic nominee for CO-01?
100 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-24.00
- YES
Will France vs. Sweden end in a draw?
90 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-14.40
- YES
Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway end in a draw?
70 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-20.30
- YES
Will Mexico vs. Ecuador end in a draw?
60 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-20.40
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUnited States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Team to Advance AND Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advance AND Will England win on 2026-07-01?$19.99Jul 1, 06:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Austria: Team to Advance AND United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Team to Advance AND England vs. DR Congo: Team to Advance AND Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to Advance$19.99Jul 1, 06:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: England (-1.5) AND United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5$20.00Jul 1, 06:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States win on 2026-07-01? AND Will England win on 2026-07-01? AND Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?$40.00Jul 1, 06:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 1, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?$32.00Jun 30, 22:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France vs. Sweden end in a draw?$14.76Jun 30, 15:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico vs. Ecuador end in a draw?$20.80Jun 30, 15:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway end in a draw?$20.73Jun 30, 15:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWimbledon ATP: Otto Virtanen vs Ben Shelton$3.00Jun 30, 14:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWimbledon ATP: Otto Virtanen vs Ben Shelton$2.15Jun 30, 14:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWimbledon ATP: Otto Virtanen vs Ben Shelton$18.85Jun 30, 14:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWimbledon ATP: Otto Virtanen vs Ben Shelton$3.00Jun 30, 14:57 UTC
- REDEEMNetherlands vs. Morocco: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?$31.20Jun 30, 14:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Melat Kiros be the Democratic nominee for CO-01?$24.00Jun 30, 11:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetherlands vs. Morocco: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?$15.23Jun 30, 02:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$28.82Jun 30, 02:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?$24.00Jun 30, 02:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?$21.00Jun 30, 02:44 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Belgium (-1.5)$20.00Jun 27, 13:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
37 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 62/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $17.96
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 4, 18:55 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 1, 06:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.