Past-Armrest
0x061390ec8bf1729293e983305a49b58062dfa5bf
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
158
Open notional
$0.01
Total PnL
$-498.76
Realised
$-0.05
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 158- YES
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
5 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.01
$-0.01
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on March 11?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Rui Moreira win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 33°F or below on January 17?
130 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 28-29°F on February 7?
125 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 7, 2026$0.00
$-4.98
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on March 11?
114 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 40-41°F on January 18?
111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - December 25, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET
102 shares @ 84.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 26, 2025$0.00
$-86.26
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -11°C on January 29?
100 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 700-719 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?
91 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on March 24?$18.33Mar 24, 03:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 23°C or higher on March 24?$0.14Mar 24, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 22°C on March 24?$1.59Mar 24, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 23°C or higher on March 24?$0.30Mar 24, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 23°C or higher on March 24?$0.20Mar 24, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 23°C or higher on March 24?$0.45Mar 24, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 15°C on March 19?$1.00Mar 19, 11:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 48-49°F on February 14?$0.00Mar 19, 05:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C on March 18?$3.57Mar 18, 15:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 28°C on March 18?$1.82Mar 18, 15:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 48-49°F on March 12?$1.00Mar 12, 16:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 48-49°F on March 11?$1.00Mar 11, 15:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on March 11?$5.00Mar 11, 13:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 12°C on March 11?$1.00Mar 11, 12:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 8°C on March 11?$1.00Mar 11, 04:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 7°C on March 11?$1.00Mar 11, 04:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on March 11?$6.00Mar 11, 02:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on March 11?$2.00Mar 11, 00:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on March 11?$1.00Mar 10, 23:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on March 11?$1.00Mar 10, 23:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $3.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 6, 15:09 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 24, 03:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".