Glaring-Divorce
0x0615bf1102483b010b06b2ebea58db149f846a41
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
32
Open notional
$11.24
Total PnL
$-152.63
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 32- YES
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 21, 2026?
11 shares @ 89.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$11.24
$1.24
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on February 9?
458 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$0.00
$-6.43
- YES
Crude Oil all time high by April 30?
327 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on February 10?
246 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-6.55
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
236 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?
179 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?
167 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
156 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on February 9?
150 shares @ 11.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$0.00
$-17.00
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?
137 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-0.96
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?$2.00Apr 19, 08:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?$1.00Apr 19, 08:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 21, 2026?$10.00Apr 19, 08:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 19, 2026?$10.00Apr 19, 08:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYCrude Oil all time high by April 30?$10.00Apr 16, 10:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 14, 2026?$3.22Apr 12, 15:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?$5.00Apr 12, 15:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 13?$48.29Apr 12, 15:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 13?$39.99Apr 12, 09:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?$1.00Mar 12, 01:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$1.00Mar 12, 01:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?$5.00Feb 23, 02:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?$10.00Feb 23, 01:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down on February 16?$2.00Feb 15, 21:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on February 16?$1.00Feb 15, 21:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on February 14?$2.85Feb 14, 15:45 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET$1.36Feb 14, 09:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET$1.00Feb 14, 09:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on February 14?$1.00Feb 14, 09:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on February 14?$2.00Feb 14, 09:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $5.46
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 8, 22:42 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 19, 08:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.