Sweet-Hunt
0x0616f9359903059f6fe76eed58df6b54648e219e
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
164
Open notional
$3.86
Total PnL
$-986.96
Realised
$4.01
Win rate
72%
18 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 164- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?
49 shares @ 9.5¢·now 4.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$2.21
$-2.46
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
8 shares @ 36.0¢·now 19.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.65
$-1.35
- NO
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 10?
729 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-28.22
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET
414 shares @ 72.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 30, 2025$0.00
$-299.32
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET
171 shares @ 82.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 30, 2025$0.00
$-140.35
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET
89 shares @ 41.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-36.54
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - September 9, 6PM ET
77 shares @ 23.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 9, 2025$0.00
$-18.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET
69 shares @ 30.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-21.00
- NO
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 13?
44 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 13, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - August 2, 10AM ET
42 shares @ 16.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 2, 2025$0.00
$-7.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET$1.07Jul 12, 20:12 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET$0.84Jul 12, 20:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET$1.05Jul 12, 20:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET$1.05Jul 12, 20:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET$1.04Jul 12, 20:10 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$0.07Jul 12, 20:09 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$0.83Jul 12, 20:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$1.05Jul 12, 20:07 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$2.10Jul 12, 20:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$1.04Jul 12, 20:06 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$1.44Jul 12, 20:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$1.04Jul 12, 20:05 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET$0.99Jul 12, 20:04 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET$0.93Jul 12, 20:03 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET$1.73Jul 12, 20:03 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET$2.05Jul 12, 20:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET$1.06Jul 12, 20:02 UTC
- REDEEMWimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverev$6.02Jul 12, 19:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverev$5.04Jul 12, 13:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET$1.06Jul 12, 13:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
43/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
72% win rate over 18 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
29 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 48/100.
18 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $1.65
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 22, 00:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 12, 20:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 18 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.