Composed-Spur
0x061cd58dad1635450a1a79b5186304977e3e8b9a
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
23
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.3K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- YES
Will France win Eurovision 2026?
400 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-15.20
- LINDA NOSKOVA
Bad Homburg Open: Gabriela Ruse vs Linda Noskova
394 shares @ 61.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$0.00
$-240.26
- YES
Will "Tariff" be said 3+ times during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?
238 shares @ 52.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-123.99
- YES
Will France be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?
200 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?
200 shares @ 21.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-43.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
172 shares @ 58.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?
127 shares @ 48.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026$0.00
$-61.47
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026?
111 shares @ 58.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-64.76
- YES
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?
100 shares @ 28.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-28.50
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
100 shares @ 32.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.00
$-32.30
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBad Homburg Open: Gabriela Ruse vs Linda Noskova$243.07Jun 22, 14:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?$100.00Jun 16, 18:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?$100.00Jun 16, 18:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?$71.00May 26, 11:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?$57.23May 25, 13:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill White House post 180-199 posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$5.00May 19, 08:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$100.00May 19, 08:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$102.10May 18, 10:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$33.39May 17, 09:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill White House post 200+ posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$26.21May 16, 14:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?$98.14May 16, 11:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill White House post 200+ posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$9.08May 16, 06:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?$78.86May 16, 06:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$5.26May 15, 06:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$5.91May 15, 06:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$5.66May 15, 06:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$43.00May 15, 06:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?$51.88May 14, 19:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win Eurovision 2026?$15.93May 14, 19:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$29.52May 14, 07:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
44 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 53/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $38.84
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 11, 11:22 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 22, 14:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.