Mammoth-Sideboard
0x061f9ddd92d09c22d43d847fae73d02aa6ceaa02
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$108.64
Total PnL
$-230.86
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- OVER
Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 12.5 Total Corners
667 shares @ 15.0¢·now 13.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$86.67
$-13.33
- ENGLAND
Spread: England (-1.5)
41 shares @ 50.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$20.91
$0.21
- YES
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-30?
58 shares @ 24.0¢·now 1.8¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$1.06
$-12.74
- NO
Lionel Messi: 1+ goals
142 shares @ 69.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.00
$-98.00
- YES
Will Norway vs. France end in a draw?
133 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$0.00
$-28.00
- YES
Erling Haaland: 2+ goals
100 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Bruno Fernandes: 1+ assists
82 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-18.00
- YES
Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?
78 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$0.00
$-14.00
- YES
Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?
62 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$0.00
$-13.00
- YES
Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway end in a draw?
47 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-14.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBelgium vs. Senegal: O/U 12.5 Total Corners$102.55Jul 1, 02:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: England (-1.5)$21.01Jul 1, 01:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ecuador win on 2026-06-30?$14.11Jul 1, 01:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill France win on 2026-06-30?$418.18Jun 30, 23:12 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: France (-1.5)$233.33Jun 30, 23:06 UTC
- TRADESELLFrance vs. Sweden: O/U 12.5 Total Corners$41.70Jun 30, 20:01 UTC
- REDEEMNorway leading at halftime?$57.14Jun 30, 19:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Norway win on 2026-06-30?$91.30Jun 30, 19:19 UTC
- REDEEMCôte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Team to Advance$177.78Jun 30, 19:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway end in a draw?$14.29Jun 30, 16:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYNorway leading at halftime?$20.39Jun 30, 15:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win on 2026-06-30?$42.68Jun 30, 15:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-06-30?$42.29Jun 30, 15:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-06-30?$140.97Jun 30, 12:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-06-30?$140.97Jun 30, 12:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYErling Haaland: 2+ goals$20.48Jun 30, 04:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. Sweden: O/U 12.5 Total Corners$30.73Jun 30, 04:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYCôte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Team to Advance$113.24Jun 30, 04:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: France (-1.5)$127.74Jun 30, 04:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Netherlands vs. Morocco end in a draw?$24.26Jun 30, 02:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
37 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 73/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $41.03
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 26, 03:17 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 1, 02:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.