Novel-Oat
0x062abe6551d14d1ea32765c801d72a2a1c0051e4
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.2K
Realised
$-17.31
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- YES
TikTok removed from App Store by September 30?
3378 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-51.00
- YES
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2025?
2208 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- BLUE JAYS
Dodgers vs. Blue Jays
2032 shares @ 36.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 9, 2025$0.00
$-732.69
- NO
US x China tariff agreement by November 10?
760 shares @ 13.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 10, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Dogecoin all time high before 2026?
559 shares @ 17.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Gold close between $4000 and $4100 at the end of 2025?
484 shares @ 20.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will the Government shutdown end October 31-November 3?
455 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2025?
450 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-45.00
- NO
Will Tesla dip to $428 in January?
411 shares @ 21.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-90.00
- NO
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by October 31?
405 shares @ 24.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Jia Yueting enter mainland China by December 31?$36.77Jan 4, 22:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla dip to $428 in January?$90.00Jan 4, 21:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tesla (TSLA) hit $505 before 2026??$203.48Jan 1, 13:21 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$37.88Dec 24, 20:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla (TSLA) hit $505 before 2026??$180.00Dec 3, 05:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla (TSLA) hit $460 before 2026??$100.00Dec 3, 05:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla (TSLA) hit $475 before 2026??$100.00Dec 3, 05:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla (TSLA) hit $475 before 2026??$100.00Dec 3, 05:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tesla reach $518 in November?$169.49Dec 3, 05:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tesla reach $495 in November?$238.10Dec 3, 05:38 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?$69.15Nov 23, 02:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2025-11-22?$70.00Nov 23, 02:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Government shutdown end by November 15?$0.00Nov 23, 02:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Government shutdown end by November 15?$63.64Nov 23, 02:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$12.73Nov 12, 14:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYFirst to 5k: Gold or ETH?$87.00Nov 2, 05:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla reach $495 in November?$100.00Nov 2, 05:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla reach $518 in November?$100.00Nov 2, 05:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold close between $4000 and $4100 at the end of 2025?$100.00Nov 2, 05:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYDodgers vs. Blue Jays$100.00Nov 2, 04:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $101.62
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 19, 04:56 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 4, 22:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".