Frigid-Emergent
0x062d3fb0a18597a4937e3768dd597ac590ed7a22
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
11
Open notional
$258.37
Total PnL
$-8.27
Realised
$-0.29
Win rate
0%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in July?
152 shares @ 98.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$151.67
$1.67
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in July?
105 shares @ 95.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$104.97
$4.97
- UP
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 4, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET
2 shares @ 58.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$1.72
$0.72
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 16, 2026?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
20 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Paul Thomas Anderson win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?
10 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Google have the top AI model on March 31?
9 shares @ 94.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2025$0.00
$-8.35
- YES
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" this week? (February 22)
6 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump say "What's Up" this week? (February 22)
4 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Winter Olympic" or "Winter Olympics" this week? (February 22)
3 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$869.40Jul 23, 14:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$899.10Jul 23, 14:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$27.72Jul 23, 14:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$26.97Jul 23, 14:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$149.85Jul 23, 14:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$46.95Jul 23, 14:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$2.0KJul 23, 13:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in July?$150.07Jul 23, 13:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in July?$100.19Jul 23, 13:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYDogecoin Up or Down - June 4, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET$1.03Jun 4, 12:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYDogecoin Up or Down - June 4, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET$1.01Jun 4, 12:57 UTC
- REDEEMDogecoin Up or Down - June 4, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET$1.11Jun 4, 12:56 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET$0.00Jun 4, 12:56 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - May 25, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET$0.00Jun 4, 12:56 UTC
- REDEEMDogecoin Up or Down - June 4, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET$45.00Jun 4, 12:55 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET$1.5KJun 4, 12:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYDogecoin Up or Down - June 4, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET$44.44Jun 4, 12:54 UTC
- SPLITBitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET$1.5KJun 4, 12:50 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET$1.33Jun 4, 12:49 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - May 25, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET$1.5KJun 4, 12:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
14/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
31 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 74/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $248.85
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 16, 19:04 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 23, 14:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.