Knotty-Timbale
0x06337acc2a45880cb339790fbf5abfc2adbe5704
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
141
Open notional
$63.00
Total PnL
$-608.42
Realised
$0.92
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 141- NO
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 76-77°F on May 30?
63 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp May 30, 2026$63.00
$0.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?
390 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2025$0.00
$-8.97
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?
334 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 26, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?
334 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?
334 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 720-739 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?
334 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 76-77°F on May 30?$63.00May 29, 01:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on May 21?$79.08May 20, 17:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on May 21?$79.00May 20, 12:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on May 17?$79.16May 17, 22:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on May 17?$79.01May 16, 03:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C or below on May 16?$78.16May 15, 16:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C or below on May 16?$78.01May 14, 06:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$10.25May 12, 14:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on May 6?$10.02May 7, 07:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on May 6?$10.00May 5, 15:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?$10.51May 5, 15:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?$10.50May 1, 03:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?$10.82May 1, 03:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?$10.07Apr 24, 16:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?$10.07Apr 24, 08:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?$10.06Apr 23, 02:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?$10.07Apr 23, 00:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?$9.99Apr 22, 00:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 35°F or below on April 21?$9.99Apr 22, 00:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 35°F or below on April 21?$9.97Apr 20, 01:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $15.44
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 19, 02:04 UTC
- Last active
- May 29, 01:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".