Worried-Assurance
0x06339e32a5eaa7e049f5a20c0aa17c3c107ada4b
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.5K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET
355 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2026$0.00
$-159.75
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET
355 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-159.75
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down on April 11?
222 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-99.90
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down on April 14?
222 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$0.00
$-99.90
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down on April 13?
213 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-95.94
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET
155 shares @ 13.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-21.19
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET
127 shares @ 31.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$0.00
$-39.68
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET
86 shares @ 17.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-15.24
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET
63 shares @ 13.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 12, 2026$0.00
$-8.75
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET
53 shares @ 46.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-24.84
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on April 14?$99.90Apr 13, 16:20 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down on April 9?$212.41Apr 13, 16:08 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down on April 12?$222.00Apr 13, 16:08 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down on April 10?$222.00Apr 13, 16:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on April 13?$99.90Apr 12, 17:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on April 12?$117.66Apr 12, 01:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on April 12?$99.90Apr 11, 16:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on April 11?$99.90Apr 10, 16:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on April 10?$117.66Apr 9, 17:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on April 10?$93.98Apr 9, 16:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on April 10?$3.15Apr 9, 16:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on April 10?$2.77Apr 9, 16:30 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET$221.99Apr 9, 16:29 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET$222.00Apr 9, 16:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on April 9?$115.44Apr 8, 16:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on April 9?$88.80Apr 8, 16:00 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$2.64Apr 8, 01:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET$99.90Apr 7, 00:01 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET$222.00Apr 6, 20:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET$113.22Apr 6, 16:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
1/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
35 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 54/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $57.94
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 5, 16:05 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 13, 16:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.