0x06435586a90213af210b8cd4303026cc8bde18c6
0x06435586a90213af210b8cd4303026cc8bde18c6
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
23
Open notional
$173.61
Total PnL
$-35.59
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- NO
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
43 shares @ 23.0¢·now 73.5¢·exp Aug 20, 2026$31.96
$21.96
- YES
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 10 to August 12, 2026?
37 shares @ 27.0¢·now 46.5¢·exp Aug 12, 2026$17.22
$7.22
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?
13 shares @ 77.0¢·now 99.5¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$12.92
$2.92
- NO
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $352.50 Week of August 10 2026?
13 shares @ 78.0¢·now 82.0¢·exp Aug 14, 2026$10.51
$0.51
- YES
Will annual inflation be 3.4% in July?
23 shares @ 44.0¢·now 43.0¢·exp Aug 12, 2026$9.77
$-0.23
- NO
Will the Bank of Korea hike by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting?
13 shares @ 79.0¢·now 76.5¢·exp Aug 26, 2026$9.68
$-0.32
- NO
Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%?
19 shares @ 54.0¢·now 51.5¢·exp Aug 12, 2026$9.54
$-0.46
- YES
Will monthly inflation stay flat (0.0%) in July?
28 shares @ 36.0¢·now 33.0¢·exp Aug 12, 2026$9.17
$-0.83
- NO
Will annual inflation be 3.3% in July?
13 shares @ 75.0¢·now 68.0¢·exp Aug 12, 2026$9.07
$-0.93
- NO
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.1% in July?
14 shares @ 73.8¢·now 66.0¢·exp Aug 12, 2026$8.95
$-1.05
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Getty Images (GETY) beat quarterly earnings?$0.00Aug 11, 02:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Korea hike by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting?$10.10Aug 11, 02:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 8 to August 10, 2026?$0.00Aug 10, 20:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?$10.14Aug 10, 18:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 10 to August 12, 2026?$10.36Aug 10, 18:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $960 Week of August 10 2026?$10.28Aug 10, 17:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $352.50 Week of August 10 2026?$10.09Aug 10, 09:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $345 Week of August 10 2026?$10.19Aug 10, 01:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%?$10.23Aug 9, 17:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 3-August 9?$2.21Aug 9, 17:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill monthly inflation stay flat (0.0%) in July?$10.32Aug 9, 09:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?$10.38Aug 9, 01:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?$0.00Aug 8, 21:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 8 to August 10, 2026?$10.36Aug 8, 17:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces end of Iranian blockade by August 13, 2026?$10.00Aug 8, 08:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?$0.00Aug 8, 02:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Transgender" during Friday roundtable?$13.89Aug 8, 02:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Getty Images (GETY) beat quarterly earnings?$1.04Aug 8, 00:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?$10.11Aug 7, 16:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Core CPI MoM be 0.1% in July?$10.13Aug 7, 08:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
31 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 53/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $9.63
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 1, 22:36 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 11, 02:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.