Detailed-Breakthrough
0x064ad967ebdd107f4b3aad68cb4603d1093bcaeb
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
21
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-250.71
Realised
$-141.86
Win rate
0%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- YES
Will XRP dip to $2.00 January 5-11?
282 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2026$0.00
$-2.32
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on January 13?
275 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.70
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on January 6?
274 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.37
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,800 and $2,900 on January 2?
272 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 2, 2026$0.00
$-4.08
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,100 and $3,200 on January 11?
263 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 11, 2026$0.00
$-3.15
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on January 2?
258 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 2, 2026$0.00
$-2.58
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on January 14?
251 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2026$0.00
$-2.01
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $96,000 and $98,000 on January 13?
250 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.50
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - January 13, 2PM ET
247 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.48
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $1.10 and $1.20 on August 13?
242 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 13, 2026$0.00
$-2.65
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.10 and $1.20 on August 13?$2.83Aug 12, 18:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on July 15?$85.69Jul 15, 16:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on July 15?$0.19Jul 14, 22:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on July 15?$83.79Jul 14, 22:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on July 4?$1.60Jul 3, 19:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on June 4?$110.93Jun 4, 18:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on June 4?$104.94Jun 4, 00:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on May 27?$86.39May 27, 23:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on May 27?$83.71May 26, 23:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on May 23?$2.16May 22, 17:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.30 on May 20?$3.14May 20, 02:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 19?$98.11May 19, 18:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 19?$0.25May 18, 19:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 19?$96.49May 18, 19:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on May 11?$91.54May 11, 19:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on May 11?$0.29May 10, 21:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on May 11?$89.79May 10, 19:43 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET$23.20Apr 30, 17:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $2.20 and $2.30 on January 13?$0.00Apr 21, 09:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.40 on April 14?$3.24Apr 13, 16:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
20/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 7 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
35 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 52/100.
7 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $27.85
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 12, 08:15 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 12, 18:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.