Rotating-Subset
0x0657e9f8d9cd8cc00e71993bc2744739a8cc8291
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-17.50
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will "Weapons" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $29m?
1724 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 11, 2025$0.00
$-7.50
- YES
Will Justin Bieber be the top Spotify artist for 2025?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will "Predator: Badlands" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 33m?
111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will "KPop Demon Hunters" have between 270-290m views on September 23?
77 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will "The Conjuring: Last Rites" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $52m?
36 shares @ 5.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 8, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will "Hoppers" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 38m?
21 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Kate Hudson win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?
17 shares @ 5.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
9 shares @ 11.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
7 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 15+ times during the America Business Forum on November 5?
4 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill "Hoppers" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 38m?$1.00Mar 7, 13:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Predator: Badlands" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 33m?$1.00Nov 8, 11:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 15+ times during the America Business Forum on November 5?$1.00Nov 3, 07:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kate Hudson win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?$1.00Oct 31, 06:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "KPop Demon Hunters" have between 270-290m views on September 23?$1.00Sep 3, 21:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Justin Bieber be the top Spotify artist for 2025?$1.00Sep 3, 21:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Conjuring: Last Rites" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $52m?$2.00Sep 3, 21:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Weapons" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $29m?$4.50Aug 8, 11:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Weapons" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $29m?$1.00Aug 7, 14:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Weapons" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $29m?$2.00Aug 6, 20:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Superman" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $124m?$5.88Aug 6, 20:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$1.00Jul 8, 19:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Superman" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $124m?$2.00Jul 8, 19:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill "M3GAN 2.0" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $16M?$0.00Jul 8, 19:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$1.00Jun 29, 08:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "M3GAN 2.0" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $16M?$1.00Jun 28, 10:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Powell say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during June Press Conference?$0.00Jun 28, 10:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during June Press Conference?$1.00May 31, 14:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?$0.00May 31, 14:21 UTC
- REDEEMDeepSeek banned in US before April?$0.00May 31, 14:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
27 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 43/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $1.24
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 1, 20:52 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 7, 13:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.