Impure-Alarm
0x066ffbc222c149f8ec54fba2589137ce37662e56
Wallet digest
Activity score
94/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
37
Open notional
$4.1K
Total PnL
$249.69
Realised
$-2.44
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 37- YES
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?
2393 shares @ 59.8¢·now 73.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.8K
$326.76
- YES
Will Russia capture Vodianske by December 31?
857 shares @ 45.4¢·now 46.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$398.56
$9.32
- YES
Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31?
637 shares @ 52.6¢·now 52.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$334.43
$-0.54
- NO
Will Russia enter Serhiivka by July 31?
319 shares @ 95.8¢·now 97.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$309.91
$3.92
- YES
Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by September 30?
733 shares @ 34.9¢·now 37.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$274.74
$18.81
- YES
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by September 30?
282 shares @ 83.4¢·now 80.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$225.31
$-9.55
- YES
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?
354 shares @ 54.0¢·now 57.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$201.73
$10.61
- YES
Will Russia capture Myropillia by December 31?
374 shares @ 61.0¢·now 46.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$173.78
$-54.38
- YES
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?
433 shares @ 26.8¢·now 37.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$162.49
$46.50
- YES
Will Russia capture Vodianske by September 30?
360 shares @ 19.0¢·now 18.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$66.60
$-1.80
Recent activity
- REWARD$2.87Jul 29, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Myropillia by December 31?$2.90Jul 28, 19:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Serhiivka by July 31?$19.00Jul 28, 16:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by September 30?$73.98Jul 28, 13:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by September 30?$68.00Jul 28, 12:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Matiasheve by October 31?$23.18Jul 28, 10:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Serhiivka by December 31?$85.38Jul 28, 10:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Serhiivka by July 31?$286.98Jul 28, 10:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31?$334.97Jul 28, 10:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$3.67Jul 28, 10:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Vodianske by December 31?$68.16Jul 28, 10:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Vodianske by December 31?$321.08Jul 28, 10:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$0.96Jul 28, 10:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by December 31, 2026?$21.00Jul 28, 10:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by September 30?$5.70Jul 28, 10:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Huliaipole by September 30?$225.47Jul 28, 05:03 UTC
- REWARD$3.90Jul 28, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?$17.13Jul 27, 20:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by September 30?$113.96Jul 27, 18:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Myropillia by December 31?$7.81Jul 27, 18:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 65/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $64.74
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 20, 11:38 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.