0x06759be018857f25a92cb4380802fdf418b19e7e
0x06759be018857f25a92cb4380802fdf418b19e7e
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$100.47
Total PnL
$-3.30
Realised
$-0.10
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- NATUS VINCERE
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs
14 shares @ 71.0¢·now 69.5¢·exp Aug 20, 2026$9.73
$-0.21
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on August 22?
14 shares @ 70.5¢·now 68.8¢·exp Aug 22, 2026$9.63
$-0.24
- NO
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026?
10 shares @ 46.6¢·now 92.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$9.20
$4.54
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 25?
20 shares @ 41.3¢·now 44.0¢·exp Aug 25, 2026$8.80
$0.54
- NO
Will Solana dip to $50 by December 31, 2026?
10 shares @ 78.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$8.25
$0.45
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?
10 shares @ 83.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.25
$-0.05
- YES
Will Darline Graham win at least 50% of votes in the SC Republican Senate special primary runoff?
10 shares @ 80.0¢·now 79.0¢·exp Aug 25, 2026$7.90
$-0.10
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on August 25?
20 shares @ 46.2¢·now 36.3¢·exp Aug 25, 2026$7.26
$-1.98
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 20?
10 shares @ 92.5¢·now 65.0¢·exp Aug 20, 2026$6.50
$-2.75
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?
7 shares @ 67.0¢·now 83.5¢·exp Sep 1, 2026$5.84
$1.16
Recent activity
- REDEEMCancun: Darwin Blanch vs Lloyd Harris$0.00Aug 20, 04:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?$8.30Aug 20, 03:32 UTC
- REDEEMCincinnati Open: Jaime Faria vs Lorenzo Musetti$14.00Aug 20, 03:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs$10.08Aug 20, 02:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYCancun: Darwin Blanch vs Lloyd Harris$6.86Aug 20, 02:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYCincinnati Open: Jaime Faria vs Lorenzo Musetti$9.12Aug 20, 01:51 UTC
- TRADESELLCincinnati Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Felix Auger-Aliassime$3.45Aug 20, 01:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYCincinnati Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Felix Auger-Aliassime$4.40Aug 20, 01:31 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs$0.00Aug 20, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLToronto Tempo vs. Washington Mystics$8.54Aug 19, 23:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Darline Graham win at least 50% of votes in the SC Republican Senate special primary runoff?$8.06Aug 19, 22:49 UTC
- TRADESELLSan Francisco Giants vs. Cleveland Guardians$9.23Aug 19, 22:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYToronto Tempo vs. Washington Mystics$8.95Aug 19, 21:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on August 22?$10.07Aug 19, 21:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 25?$8.60Aug 19, 21:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on August 25?$9.59Aug 19, 21:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYSan Francisco Giants vs. Cleveland Guardians$9.67Aug 19, 20:07 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: G2 vs Astralis (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs$0.00Aug 19, 19:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 20?$9.30Aug 19, 19:35 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: FUT Esports vs magic - Map 1 Winner$0.00Aug 19, 18:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
32 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 50/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $7.80
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 17, 14:33 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 20, 04:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.