Lazy-Recognition
0x067fe0cb8bf370bee4a3d7fdb4926d1deb2725dc
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-326.84
Realised
$-22.65
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after June 2025 meeting?
8493 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2025$0.00
$-16.09
- YES
Will Jake Paul win by decision or technical decision?
1717 shares @ 5.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?
1664 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2025$0.00
$-38.28
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?
1225 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2025$0.00
$-25.73
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 47°F or below on November 6?
756 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 6, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?
594 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2025$0.00
$-8.00
- YES
Will the fight end in a draw?
410 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-9.00
- YES
Will Jake Paul win by KO/TKO/DQ?
250 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $108,000 on November 5?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Anthony Joshua win by decision or technical decision?
167 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-25.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET$36.00Feb 13, 22:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET$15.00Feb 13, 22:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET$15.00Feb 13, 21:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the fight end in a draw?$9.00Dec 19, 18:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthony Joshua win by decision or technical decision?$25.00Dec 19, 18:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jake Paul win by decision or technical decision?$100.00Dec 19, 18:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jake Paul win by KO/TKO/DQ?$10.00Dec 19, 18:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jake Paul win by decision or technical decision?$21.25Dec 9, 06:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jake Paul win by decision or technical decision?$36.40Dec 7, 19:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?$8.00Nov 5, 22:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be 47°F or below on November 6?$4.00Nov 5, 22:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $106,000 on November 5?$1.00Nov 5, 10:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $108,000 on November 5?$1.00Nov 5, 10:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be 47°F or below on November 6?$1.00Nov 5, 09:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?$38.28Jul 30, 08:05 UTC
- REDEEMNo change in Fed interest rates after December 2024 meeting?$0.00Jun 18, 20:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after June 2025 meeting?$16.09Jun 17, 06:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?$18.17Jun 12, 07:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?$7.56Jun 12, 07:41 UTC
- TRADESELLFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after June 2025 meeting?$7.50Jun 12, 07:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
25 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 53/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $38.05
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 10, 23:41 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 13, 22:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.