0x0688195364d1a11482b363b8ad80cdc48ba8cf3e
0x0688195364d1a11482b363b8ad80cdc48ba8cf3e
Wallet digest
Activity score
27/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-32.02
Realised
$-9.89
Win rate
0%
34 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on March 24?
666 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-0.67
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on March 24?
606 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-0.61
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on March 24?
552 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-0.55
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C on March 24?
435 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-0.43
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on March 24?
411 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-0.41
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C or higher on March 24?
408 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-0.41
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on March 24?
367 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-0.37
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 19°C on March 24?
366 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-0.37
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 37°F or below on March 24?
316 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-0.32
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C or higher on March 24?
309 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-0.31
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on March 24?$0.00Apr 4, 09:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on March 24?$0.00Apr 4, 09:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on March 24?$0.00Apr 4, 09:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C on March 24?$0.00Apr 4, 09:18 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum above 2,185 on March 24, 4AM ET?$0.00Apr 4, 09:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 38-39°F on March 24?$0.00Apr 4, 09:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on March 24?$0.00Apr 4, 09:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Social Democratic Party (Faroe Islands) win the second most seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?$0.00Apr 4, 09:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Moderates win the second most seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?$0.00Apr 4, 09:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be 37°F or below on March 24?$0.00Apr 4, 09:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on March 24?$0.00Apr 4, 09:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 18°C on March 24?$0.00Apr 4, 09:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 19°C or higher on March 24?$0.00Apr 4, 09:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 20°C on March 21?$0.00Apr 4, 09:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on March 24?$0.00Apr 4, 09:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on March 20?$0.00Apr 4, 09:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on March 24?$0.00Apr 4, 09:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C or higher on March 24?$0.00Apr 4, 09:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $1.70 and $1.80 on March 24?$0.00Apr 4, 09:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on March 24?$0.00Apr 4, 09:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
55/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 34 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
15 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 20/100.
34 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 15
- Avg trade size
- $0.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 25, 15:22 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 4, 09:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 34 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.