Puzzled-Hardware
0x06905da2831204eec146292c49d39413a2ceb5c3
Wallet digest
Activity score
47/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-106.70
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
8570 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-8.57
- NO
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
1200 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Will the Bank of Canada announce no change at the January meeting?
713 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-12.00
- YES
Will SpaceX have exactly 8 launches in January?
194 shares @ 5.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
US government shutdown Saturday?
127 shares @ 16.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-21.00
- NO
Gov Shutdown Odds >90% Friday Night (12-1 AM)?
92 shares @ 10.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will SpaceX have 12 or more launches in January?
63 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will SpaceX have exactly 10 launches in January?
58 shares @ 17.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Moltbook AI agent sues a human by Feb 28?
24 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-10.13
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYMoltbook AI agent sues a human by Feb 28?$10.13Jan 31, 17:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYGov Shutdown Odds >90% Friday Night (12-1 AM)?$10.00Jan 31, 04:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS government shutdown Saturday?$10.00Jan 30, 16:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS government shutdown Saturday?$11.00Jan 25, 22:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$10.00Jan 24, 21:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX have 12 or more launches in January?$5.00Jan 23, 03:25 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$51.61Jan 18, 16:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX have exactly 10 launches in January?$10.00Jan 18, 03:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX have exactly 8 launches in January?$10.00Jan 18, 03:26 UTC
- TRADESELLOdds of Khamenei out in Jan over 20% on Friday?$24.52Jan 16, 00:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$8.57Jan 14, 15:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYOdds of Khamenei out in Jan over 20% on Friday?$10.00Jan 14, 15:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$20.00Jan 14, 15:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Canada announce no change at the January meeting?$12.00Jan 14, 15:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$10.00Jan 14, 15:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 15
- Avg trade size
- $14.19
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 14, 15:44 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 31, 17:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.