Masculine-Swell
0x06b59f7dc49b004d5b040229586986448d65fee9
Wallet digest
Activity score
45/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-37.90
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 40-41°F on December 17?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 17, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 4°C on January 7?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 7, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 78°F or higher on January 6?
2025 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$0.00
$-6.90
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 61°F or below on January 4?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 4, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 2°C or below on January 7?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 3°C on January 7?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
New "Stranger Things" episode released by Wednesday?
398 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on January 7?
375 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 7, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
333 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?
279 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$2.00Jan 7, 03:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be 61°F or below on January 4?$2.00Jan 7, 03:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 2°C or below on January 7?$1.00Jan 7, 03:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 3°C on January 7?$1.00Jan 7, 03:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 4°C on January 7?$5.00Jan 7, 03:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 40-41°F on December 17?$5.00Jan 7, 03:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on January 7?$3.00Jan 7, 03:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be 78°F or higher on January 6?$6.90Jan 7, 01:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?$2.00Jan 7, 01:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew "Stranger Things" episode released by Wednesday? $10.00Jan 7, 01:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
10 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 45/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 10
- Avg trade size
- $3.79
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 7, 01:18 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 7, 03:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.