Exciting-Assumption
0x06b5dec5adfe4469a9075aa7896a068b085c6319
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$22.09
Total PnL
$-303.48
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
1361 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.8¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$10.21
$-1.79
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
2000 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$9.00
$-1.00
- YES
Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?
230 shares @ 2.2¢·now 1.3¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$2.88
$-2.12
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET
1748 shares @ 9.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-162.53
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET
501 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$0.00
$-11.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET
435 shares @ 10.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$0.00
$-45.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET
126 shares @ 26.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$0.00
$-34.03
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5PM ET
111 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET
71 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET
50 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$2.10Jun 4, 00:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET$3.19Jun 4, 00:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET$3.16Jun 4, 00:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of June?$8.89Jun 4, 00:46 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET$42.68Jun 3, 21:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET$3.01Jun 3, 20:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET$10.08Jun 3, 20:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET$25.19Jun 3, 20:57 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET$0.00Jun 3, 20:56 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET$40.28Jun 3, 20:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET$3.16Jun 3, 20:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET$5.29Jun 3, 20:52 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$0.00Jun 3, 20:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$10.51Jun 3, 20:06 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET$0.00Jun 3, 19:06 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET$17.85Jun 3, 19:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET$10.48Jun 3, 19:02 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET$11.68Jun 3, 18:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET$3.16Jun 3, 18:56 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET$0.00Jun 3, 11:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $11.34
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 2, 05:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 00:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".