0x06bb5f90e90bd30cea2641cb92f6d5a3af62c3b2
0x06bb5f90e90bd30cea2641cb92f6d5a3af62c3b2
Wallet digest
Activity score
37/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
14
Open notional
$4.50
Total PnL
$-35.70
Realised
$-1.23
Win rate
0%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will ByteDance have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.50
$-1.50
- YES
Will Databricks have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Stripe have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Revolut have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.50
$-0.50
- YES
Will Kraken have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.50
$-0.50
- YES
Will Erling Haaland win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
8000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-7.99
- YES
Will Lucy Powell be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
7000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-6.99
- YES
Will Lamine Yamal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on August 17?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Raphinha be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on August 17?$1.08Aug 16, 08:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Databricks have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?$1.05Aug 8, 06:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Stripe have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?$1.05Aug 4, 06:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Revolut have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?$1.05Aug 2, 22:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Stripe have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?$1.05Aug 1, 07:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Databricks have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?$1.05Jul 29, 12:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kraken have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?$1.05Jul 26, 16:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ByteDance have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?$1.05Jul 24, 11:08 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET$2.00Jul 23, 11:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET$1.04Jul 23, 10:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET$1.04Jul 23, 10:44 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET$2.00Jul 22, 12:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET$1.04Jul 22, 10:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET$1.04Jul 22, 10:33 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET$4.00Jul 22, 10:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET$2.09Jul 21, 08:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET$2.09Jul 21, 08:58 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET$4.00Jul 20, 17:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET$2.09Jul 20, 08:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET$2.09Jul 20, 08:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
24/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 9 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
40 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 52/100.
9 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $1.60
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 17, 18:55 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 16, 08:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.