0x06cb9ae794e4f7429ff28271822bf656d8cafaea
0x06cb9ae794e4f7429ff28271822bf656d8cafaea
Wallet digest
Activity score
15/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
11
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.3K
Realised
$-313.39
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will ‘Nope’ gross more than $60 million domestically on its opening weekend?
4681 shares @ 27.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2022$0.00
$-1.3K
- YES
Will the Fed set interest rates above 2.50% (100 bps or more) after their scheduled July meeting?
2262 shares @ 7.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 27, 2022$0.00
$-160.00
- YES
Will 'Lightyear' gross more than $90 million domestically on its opening weekend?
919 shares @ 5.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2022$0.00
$-50.00
- REPUBLICAN
Senate: Will a Democrat (Kelly) or Republican (Masters) win in Arizona?
677 shares @ 10.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2022$0.00
$-70.34
- KARA-FRANCE
UFC 277: Who will win - Moreno vs Kara-France
625 shares @ 33.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2022$0.00
$-207.38
- $2,000
Will $ETH hit $1,000 or $2,000 first?
408 shares @ 7.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2023$0.00
$-30.00
- NO
Will Bitcoin ($BTC) hit $20,000 or less by June 30?
159 shares @ 31.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2022$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
UFC 276: Will Adesanya KO/TKO Cannonier?
114 shares @ 35.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2022$0.00
$-40.00
- STRICKLAND
UFC 276: Who will win - Strickland vs Pereira
95 shares @ 52.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2022$0.00
$-50.00
- AVALANCHE
NHL 2022 Stanley Cup Finals: Who will win Lightning vs. Avalanche, Game 5?
43 shares @ 46.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2022$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
No activity on record.
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
25/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- —
- Last active
- —
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.