Faint-Counterforce
0x06cdbdd8a243183d0478dd85c56df47a9aee1b0c
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-917.55
Realised
$-13.84
Win rate
59%
49 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on May 6?
209 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 25?
207 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.04
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on May 9?
190 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$0.00
$-2.49
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on May 9?
188 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$0.00
$-5.34
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on April 29?
187 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 18°C on May 4?
184 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-2.50
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on May 8?
175 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-2.53
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 31°C on May 1?
173 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on May 25?
173 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.35
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 33°C on May 9?
170 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$0.00
$-8.18
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET$5.68Jun 21, 23:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET$5.04Jun 21, 23:13 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET$5.49Jun 21, 20:31 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - June 21, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET$10.52Jun 21, 20:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET$4.82Jun 21, 20:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 21, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET$9.93Jun 21, 20:28 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - June 21, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET$1.00Jun 21, 20:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 21, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET$0.89Jun 21, 19:58 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - June 21, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET$10.52Jun 21, 19:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 21, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET$10.03Jun 21, 19:43 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - June 21, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET$10.63Jun 21, 19:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 21, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET$9.99Jun 21, 19:13 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - June 21, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET$10.98Jun 21, 18:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 21, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET$10.05Jun 21, 17:58 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - June 21, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET$11.49Jun 21, 15:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 21, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET$10.09Jun 21, 15:43 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$11.23Jun 21, 14:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$10.07Jun 21, 14:28 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - June 21, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET$10.98Jun 21, 14:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 21, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET$10.05Jun 21, 13:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
55/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
59% win rate over 49 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
27 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 27/100.
49 closed markets, 59% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $6.90
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 21, 00:42 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 21, 23:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 49 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.