Careful-Therapist
0x06dc49d22a295a5ec449772f25d188049741b9ff
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$120.00
Total PnL
$112.10
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Tarsier Pharma's market cap be between $250M and $300M at market close on IPO day?
300 shares @ 1.0¢·now 37.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$111.00
$108.00
- YES
Will Tarsier Pharma's market cap be between $400M and $450M at market close on IPO day?
15 shares @ 19.0¢·now 40.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$6.00
$3.15
- NO
Will Tarsier Pharma's market cap be between $400M and $450M at market close on IPO day?
5 shares @ 41.0¢·now 60.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$3.00
$0.95
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYGenerali Open: Vit Kopriva vs Ignacio Buse AND Segovia: Mario Gonzalez Fernandez vs Miguel Tobon$10.49Jul 20, 16:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?$11.41Jul 20, 16:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYZug: Thomas Faurel vs Daniel Rincon AND Tampere: Inaki Montes vs Hynek Barton AND Livesport Prague Open: Ayla Aksu vs Sofia Costoulas$10.99Jul 20, 14:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYGenerali Open: Facundo Acosta vs Federico Cina AND Estoril Open: Titouan Droguet vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli AND Tampere: Gauthier Onclin vs Duje Ajdukovic$10.99Jul 20, 13:59 UTC
- TRADESELLGenerali Open: Vit Kopriva vs Ignacio Buse AND Zug: Cezar Cretu vs Kimmer Coppejans AND Tampere: Inaki Montes vs Hynek Barton AND Tampere: Gauthier Onclin vs Duje Ajdukovic$2.04Jul 20, 13:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYGenerali Open: Vit Kopriva vs Ignacio Buse AND Zug: Cezar Cretu vs Kimmer Coppejans AND Tampere: Inaki Montes vs Hynek Barton AND Tampere: Gauthier Onclin vs Duje Ajdukovic$10.98Jul 20, 12:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYGenerali Open: Facundo Acosta vs Federico Cina AND Estoril Open: Titouan Droguet vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli AND Hamburg European Open, Qualification: Eva Vedder vs Mona Barthel AND Generali Open: Joel Schwaerzler vs Jurij Rodionov$11.00Jul 20, 12:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYHamburg European Open, Qualification: Arantxa Rus vs Chloe Paquet AND Tampere: Daniel Galan vs Gilles Arnaud Bailly AND Estoril Open: Tiago Torres vs Nikoloz Basilashvili$11.00Jul 20, 12:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tarsier Pharma's market cap be between $400M and $450M at market close on IPO day?$1.62Jul 9, 22:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tarsier Pharma's market cap be between $400M and $450M at market close on IPO day?$2.05Jul 8, 09:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tarsier Pharma's market cap be between $250M and $300M at market close on IPO day?$3.00Jul 8, 09:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tarsier Pharma's market cap be between $400M and $450M at market close on IPO day?$0.28Jul 8, 08:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tarsier Pharma's market cap be between $400M and $450M at market close on IPO day?$0.98Jul 8, 08:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Micron Q3 DRAM revenue be above $29B?$27.06Jun 25, 18:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Micron Q3 DRAM revenue be above $30B?$34.00Jun 25, 18:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Micron Q3 DRAM revenue be above $29B?$39.03Jun 9, 14:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Micron Q3 DRAM revenue be above $29B?$51.27Jun 9, 14:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Micron Q3 DRAM revenue be above $29B?$70.89Jun 7, 08:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Silver (SI) settle at $70-$80 in June?$45.35Jun 7, 08:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Micron Q3 DRAM revenue be above $30B?$17.29Jun 7, 08:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 72/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $12.36
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 13, 08:53 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 20, 16:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.