Raw-Zero
0x06dd8bbb51adc340937ecf0682a0dd67824780f9
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$6.24
Total PnL
$0.01
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,600 and $2,700 on May 18?
2 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$1.85
$0.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $52,000 and $54,000 on July 3?
2 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$1.80
$0.00
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on June 27?
2 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$1.53
$0.00
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1,300 on June 27?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$1.05
$0.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $52,000 and $54,000 on July 3?$1.80Jul 2, 14:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on June 27?$1.53Jun 26, 21:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be less than $1,300 on June 27?$1.05Jun 26, 17:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,600 and $2,700 on May 18?$1.85May 16, 20:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,700 and $2,800 on April 24?$1.87Apr 28, 17:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,700 and $2,800 on April 24?$1.87Apr 23, 19:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $56,000 on March 3?$1.35Mar 5, 08:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $56,000 on March 3?$1.34Mar 2, 08:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on February 20?$1.16Feb 21, 17:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on February 20?$1.13Feb 20, 05:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $60,000 on February 12?$1.46Feb 13, 06:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $60,000 on February 12?$1.46Feb 12, 09:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on February 10?$1.11Feb 11, 14:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on February 10?$1.11Feb 10, 09:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $98,000 and $100,000 on January 20?$1.54Jan 21, 06:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $98,000 and $100,000 on January 20?$1.53Jan 19, 18:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$1.55Jan 17, 19:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$1.61Jan 17, 13:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$3.21Jan 16, 13:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?$3.23Jan 16, 13:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
18 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 51/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $1.81
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 14, 13:59 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 2, 14:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.