Infantile-Gerbil
0x06e2db7545c1c6a23c1806fb7dc3ef4e52732a29
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.8K
Realised
$-0.47
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
Over $40M committed to the Hurupay public sale?
20000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
14611 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-555.22
- YES
Over $30M committed to the Hurupay public sale?
10100 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-20.20
- YES
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?
5449 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-158.02
- YES
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2553 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-56.17
- YES
Over $20M committed to the Hurupay public sale?
2500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will Zcash hit $1000 by December 31?
1622 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-486.72
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
1239 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-59.47
- YES
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?
405 shares @ 22.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-92.55
- YES
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?
217 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?$165.69Jul 18, 03:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Argentina win on 2026-07-15?$167.21Jul 16, 12:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-07-15?$54.90Jul 15, 06:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win on 2026-07-11?$54.50Jul 11, 16:48 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 8, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Colombia win on 2026-07-07?$19.25Jul 7, 17:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Colombia win on 2026-07-07?$19.19Jul 7, 17:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Colombia win on 2026-07-07?$20.34Jul 7, 17:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Argentina win on 2026-07-07?$18.89Jul 7, 17:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-07-07?$55.43Jul 7, 15:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States win on 2026-07-06?$5.13Jul 7, 01:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 7, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States win on 2026-07-06?$50.93Jul 6, 22:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win on 2026-07-06?$51.15Jul 6, 12:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico win on 2026-07-05?$10.27Jul 6, 02:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico win on 2026-07-05?$30.69Jul 6, 02:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 6, 00:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Norway win on 2026-07-05?$150.00Jul 5, 22:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico win on 2026-07-05?$53.64Jul 5, 13:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win on 2026-07-05?$30.72Jul 5, 13:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
20 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $68.67
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 11, 00:14 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 18, 03:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.