0x06e2eb959268c24b75e8d20685f3bf5982024af2
0x06e2eb959268c24b75e8d20685f3bf5982024af2
Wallet digest
Activity score
97/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
54
Open notional
$4.3K
Total PnL
$-7.05
Realised
$15.50
Win rate
67%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 54- NO
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
4294 shares @ 86.9¢·now 95.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.1K
$373.12
- NO
Trump out as President before 2027?
205 shares @ 82.9¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$189.24
$19.72
- NO
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?
252 shares @ 62.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$0.00
$-157.91
- BESTIA
Counter-Strike: RED Canids vs BESTIA (BO3) - IEM Rio: Americas Closed Qualifier Playoffs
226 shares @ 7.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 24, 2026$0.00
$-17.53
- FAZE
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FaZe (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2
226 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026$0.00
$-8.00
- SU ESPORTS
LoL: Misa Esports vs SU Esports (BO3) - TCL Group B
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- SPIRIT
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffs
123 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 24, 2026$0.00
$-16.00
- BIG ACADEMY
Counter-Strike: 9INE vs BIG Academy (BO3) - IEM Rio: Global Closed Qualifier Playoffs
108 shares @ 4.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.8T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?
93 shares @ 10.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: O/U 0.5$5.10Jul 19, 20:47 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs$26.07Jun 21, 20:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs$24.81Jun 21, 18:00 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs$6.67Jun 20, 22:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs$3.05Jun 20, 17:21 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs$21.16Jun 18, 22:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs$13.48Jun 18, 19:00 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump out as President before 2027?$13.35Jun 18, 18:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027?$0.16Jun 8, 21:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffs$1.52Mar 28, 17:44 UTC
- TRADESELLEuropean country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30? $1.49Mar 28, 17:44 UTC
- REDEEMTrail Blazers vs. Wizards$0.00Mar 18, 20:12 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2$0.00Mar 11, 00:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2$2.76Mar 10, 15:22 UTC
- TRADESELLCounter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2$2.80Mar 10, 15:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2$2.44Mar 10, 13:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?$0.96Mar 10, 13:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$0.50Mar 10, 13:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-10?$0.98Mar 10, 13:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2$3.54Mar 10, 10:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
23/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
67% win rate over 6 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
41 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 73/100.
6 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $12.56
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 1, 22:33 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 19, 20:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.