0x06f790889a7110bb2bc591b618900656c4382cc2
0x06f790889a7110bb2bc591b618900656c4382cc2
Wallet digest
Activity score
40/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
86
Open notional
$4.18
Total PnL
$-107.46
Realised
$-1.44
Win rate
6%
80 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 86- YES
Evo Morales arrested by September 30?
3 shares @ 59.5¢·now 31.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$1.06
$-0.94
- NO
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?
6 shares @ 17.0¢·now 16.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.97
$-0.03
- YES
Taylor Swift pregnant before 2027?
9 shares @ 11.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.95
$-0.05
- YES
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?
3 shares @ 34.0¢·now 23.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$0.69
$-0.31
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on August 14?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Aug 14, 2026$0.50
$-0.50
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on August 14?
7 shares @ 15.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Aug 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 10AM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 2PM ET
25 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET
24 shares @ 12.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 6, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET
14 shares @ 14.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 6, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on August 14?$4.08Aug 14, 03:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET$2.20Aug 13, 21:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBNB Up or Down - August 13, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET$2.41Aug 13, 20:41 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - August 13, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET$2.10Aug 13, 20:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 13, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET$2.40Aug 13, 20:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBNB Up or Down - August 13, 4PM ET$1.07Aug 13, 20:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on August 14?$2.17Aug 13, 20:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on August 14?$1.05Aug 13, 20:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on August 14?$1.05Aug 13, 20:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 13, 3PM ET$1.37Aug 13, 19:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 3PM ET$1.59Aug 13, 19:13 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET$0.21Aug 13, 19:08 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET$2.81Aug 13, 19:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?$1.08Aug 13, 18:41 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - August 13, 2PM ET$2.52Aug 13, 18:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 13, 2PM ET$1.69Aug 13, 18:34 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 2PM ET$3.00Aug 13, 18:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 2PM ET$2.40Aug 13, 18:29 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - August 13, 2PM ET$2.13Aug 13, 18:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 13, 2PM ET$1.17Aug 13, 18:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
63/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
6% win rate over 80 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 30/100.
80 closed markets, 6% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $1.55
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 8, 21:07 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 14, 03:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 80 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.